Daily Archives: December 17, 2012

Santa Bringing Bagful of Cold and Snow – Just in Time, But Where?

We’re still relying heavily on the computer models at this early stage. Like with a hurricane forecast, confidence in the numerical prediction models grows when more of the models swing to a consensus or near-consensus. And that’s especially true when the strongest models, in this case the GFS and the Euro are in agreement. In this particular case, the Euro hit on the cold first and the GFS has been playing catch-up, but here we are about a week out, and the two are in agreement.